Polymarket Puts Iran Strike at 28.5% – Why Crypto Markets Are Pricing the Wrong Black Swan
The hook is a number: 28.5%. That is the probability Polymarket assigns to a...
oil shock related articles
The hook is a number: 28.5%. That is the probability Polymarket assigns to a...
Crypto Briefing drops a headline: Trump plans strategic military action in Ir...
The headline just hit the wire: US forces have struck Iran in direct...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward halving event
Team and early investor shares released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
92 million ARB released
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,492.8 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,880.36 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$74.95 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$570.3 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.1 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0718 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1655 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.74 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8174 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.4 |